Health, environmental change and adaptive capacity; mapping, examining & anticipating future risks of water-related vector-borne diseases

in eastern Africa

Programme FP7 Cooperation, Environment (including Climate Change)
Instrument Collaborative project (small or medium-scale focused research project)
Total Budget €4,194,963
EC Contribution
Duration January 2011 – December 2014
Coordinator Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Consortium 16 partners of which 8 Africa-based, 7 Europe-based and 1 South-east Asia-based

In addition to addressing the specific requirements of EU 7th Framework, Sub-Activity 6.1.2 Environment and health, Area Health impacts of climate change, ENV.2010.1.2.1-1 (The effect of environmental change on the occurrence and distribution of water related vector-borne diseases in Africa), HEALTHY FUTURES aims to engage directly both with the sentiments expressed at World Health Assembly (WHA) 2008 and with many of the gaps in knowledge identified in WHO (Protecting health from climate change Global research priorities) 2009.

The aims of the proposed research can be reformulated into a series of research questions that HEALTHY FUTURES will address, regarding the specific objectives of ENV.2010.1.2.1-1:

· What are the environmental factors determining distribution and activity of the relevant vectors and pathogens in eastern Africa?

· To what extent are outbreaks in the three target VBDs also a reflection of socio-economic conditions, including migration, form of settlement and conflict?

· To what extent have these influencing factors varied in the documented past and what have been the disease impacts of these variations?

· To what extent does the actual distribution of transmission and outbreak of the three target diseases match the potential distribution, and what factors appear to determine the difference?

· How are the transmission and outbreak of the three target diseases likely to vary according to internationally accepted scenarios of environmental conditions?

· How is the spatial interaction of the risk of disease transmission and outbreaks amongst highly heterogeneous socio-economic conditions, cultures and communities likely to influence vulnerability to disease impacts?

· What are the main barriers restricting the abilities of health and veterinary services to respond to warnings of heightened risk of a disease outbreak, and how might these barriers be best overcome?

· What are the implications for other parts of Africa and for Europe of predicted changes in the distribution and emergence of the three target VBDs in the study area?

Concentrating on eastern Africa as a study area, HEALTHY FUTURES comprises a comprehensive, inter-disciplinary consortium of health, environment, socio-economic, disease modelling and climate experts in addition to governmental health departments. To achieve its aims, HEALTHY FUTURES will deploy a bottom-up, end user/stakeholder-focused approach combining field-, laboratory- and library-based research.

Case Study Area

Read 14031 times