WP3 - Environment-disease transmission relationships & modelling

Lead beneficiary: UDUR

Objectives:

• Conduct two field studies to evaluate databases of environment and hydrological data constructed in WPs2 and 4, respectively, and to collect disease vector/host information for improved understanding of disease cycles with a focus on uncertain parameters/process in existing dynamical disease models that will be developed within the work package
• Develop statistical multivariate regression models for infection rates of each disease in eastern Africa and compare with existing models
• Use both statistical and dynamical models to generate VBD emergence and spread input to disease risk mapping (latter is part of WP4)

Tasks:

Task 3.1. Field Studies for the three target diseases

Task 3.1a Schistosomiasis transmission in Uganda/Kenya

Task 3.1b RVF and malaria transmission in Kenya

Task 3.2: Evaluation and development of statistical disease models

Task 3.3 Evaluation and development of dynamical disease models (Task 3.3 is split into three tasks (a-c))

Task 3.3a Malaria

Task 3.3b RVF

Task 3.3c Schistosomiasis

Task 3.4 Scenario integration